As the end of Year 2021 approaches, the stock market has continued to reach new record highs and to experience new dynamics, on top of the volatility that started in early May 2021. The latest major dynamics are driven by the improving job market, microchips shortages, global supply chain bottlenecks, Electric Vehicles (EV), cyptocurrency, the growing inflation, Chinese government actions on Tech and e-commerce companies, retail and tech companies performance, and the overall economic policies, including the US infrastructure bill.
On November 17, 2021, the key stock market indices remain close to record performances. YTD, the stock indices have performed as follows: Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 22.05%, Nasdaq: 34.91 %, S&P 500: 31.42%, and Russel 2000: 22.15%). AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data ,Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™, looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market as Novembber 17, 2021 and the end of the year approaches ( For More on AroniSoft LLC and AroniSmart products click here). Key stocks driving the market in mid-November 2021 were identified.
AroniSmart team has continued to build on earlier analyses in 2021( see: AroniSmartIntelligence™ in Action: Stocks Volatility and Mixed Dynamics in Early October 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses) and AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Summer 2021 Approaching End with Declining Sentiment as Key Stock Prices Continue to Soar; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses). AroniSmart™ team's analyses show that the market sentiment remains balanced, driven by increasing uncertainty and volatility, high earnings, US economic policies, and international markets concerns.
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A little bit of the insights on the market events and sentiments, from AroniSmart™ team's findings, based on the data as of November 17, 2021.
AroniSmart™ team analyzed the key stories and news on the stock markets, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™ and uncovered actionable insights.
General Market Events and Sentiments
In general, the Market Sentiment remains slightly positive, but fluctuates across several sectors and sites, especially in news related to the stock market, the inflation, the political negotiations on budgets, international markets dynamics, and the pandemic. The sentiment on stock related news (stocks, mutual funds, cryptocurrency, IPOs) has in general moved to positive areas to positive areas ( average positivity >50%). The analysis cleary identifies multiple dynamics, for the stock profile, the segmentation of stocks, the market profile and the sentiment in general. Although the market sentiment has some areas with general positivity trends, especially in investment and stock related news and areas , it remains slightly below positivity due to uncertainty of the overall economy futures and mixed positions.
The key high performing stocks tickers, with high overall index in the AroniSmartInvest Tags word cloud and Bayesian Network analysis and , as of November 17, 2021 are shown in the Bayesian Network and Sentiment Analysis below.
Figure 1: Stocks to Watch and Sentiment Analysis as of November 17, 2021
AroniSmartIntelligence™ Analysis of Positive and Negative Sentiment words.
As depicted in the Words Cloud and Tags view below, the positivity (see words in green) are driven by words such as talent, breakthrough, breakthrough, innovation, sustain, angel, enthusiasm, authonomous, interest, gain, earnings, relief, boost, boom, bolster, support, upbeat, uphold, top, improve, enthusiam, smart, smooth, oustmart, etc. The words point to the performance of the stock market, new innovations, and the continued government support to improve economic performance.
The negativity appears to come from the volatility, downturrn, risk, interruption, disruption, inflation, problem, threat, bonds market, and overal uncertainty on the new waves of the COVID-19 pandemic and outbreak .
Figure 2: Words Cloud and Sentiment Analysis as of November 17, 2021
AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks Driving the Market Sentiment
Based on AroniSmart™ team's analysis, it was found that TECH, EV, Transportation, Energy, Retail, and Healthcare are driving the market. The previous analyses showed a strong and steady momentum. In the current analysis, the trends for these sectoks remain mainly positive, although volatility, especially pointing to speculation, has increased.
The stocks highly active on November 17, 2021 are shown in the figures below. Among the high performing stocks, based on YTD technicals, are: AAPL, ABC, ADP, COST, EFX, GOOGL, KFRC, LLY, MSFT, NVDA, POOL, RHI, and TSLA.
Figure 3: Active stocks to watch based on AroniSmart Sentiment Analysis as of November 17, 2021: Ticker symbols A- Z
More detailed analyses, including stock segmentation and profile analysis can be conducted using Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartInvest and AroniSmartIntelligence™.
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